willmyflightbedelayed?

Will TO4634 be delayed today?

Paris → Madrid Barajas · Thu 5 Nov · Transavia

It should have left by now.

We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:50. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves11:50≈11:49
Lands14:00≈13:53

As of 12:29, TO4634 was due to push back about 11:49 (scheduled 11:50). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

today ≈11:4911:5012:2012:5013:20scheduled

same answer since Paris time

Why ≈1 min early

A usual morningTO4634's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farParis departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Paris is running smoothly3% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Transavia France is running well today5% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 2 min early−2
Leaves≈−1−5 to 5
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−7

weather at Madridstorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

Meeting someone?

Link preview: TO4634 lands about 13:53

Last 90 days

22on time
10late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

TO4634 Paris to Madrid left within 15 minutes of schedule on 22 of its last 34 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.

Connecting at Madrid?

See the time each connection from this flight had, day by day, on GateConnections.

Other Paris → Madrid flights today