Will TO8222 be delayed today?
Paris → Tunis Carthage · Sat 31 Oct · Transavia
updated Paris time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:55≈17:01
Lands19:25≈19:20
As of 15:59, TO8222 should push back about 17:01 (scheduled 16:55) and land about 19:20 (scheduled 19:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonTO8222's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farParis departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
More rain than usual at TunisFrom the TAF: 69% chance of rain at Tunis today+1
Paris is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈60 to 22
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−5
Transavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 147Check again 16:10Paris time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
4late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TO8222 Paris to Tunis left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 40 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It wasn't cancelled once.