Will TK1986 be delayed tomorrow?
London → Istanbul · Sun 1 Nov · Turkish Airlines
updated London time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:30≈16:45
Lands23:20≈23:25
As of 21:49, TK1986 should push back about 16:45 (scheduled 16:30) and land about 23:25 (scheduled 23:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonTK1986's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈155 to 27
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈5
weather at Istanbuldepartures at LondonTurkish Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 90
usually 1 in 175Check again tomorrow 13:30London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
45on time
30late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TK1986 London to Istanbul left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 90 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 45. It wasn't cancelled once.