Will TK686 be delayed today?
Istanbul → Cairo · Sun 1 Nov · Turkish Airlines
same answer since Istanbul time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 22:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves22:25≈22:24Istanbul time
Lands23:45≈23:41Cairo time
As of 18:49, TK686 should push back about 22:24 (scheduled 22:25) and land about 23:41 (scheduled 23:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual nightTK686's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farIstanbul departures board−1
Calmer than usual at IstanbulFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Istanbul is running smoothly9% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−1 to 2
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−4
weather at CairoTurkish Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 23Check again 19:25Istanbul time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
72on time
10late
5very late
1cancelled
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TK686 Istanbul to Cairo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 88 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It was cancelled once.