willmyflightbedelayed?

Will TK730 be delayed today?

Istanbul → Bandaranaike Colombo · Sun 1 Nov · Turkish Airlines

same answer since Istanbul time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:15.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves19:15≈19:12

As of 18:49, TK730 should push back about 19:12 (scheduled 19:15).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

today ≈19:1219:1519:4520:1520:45scheduled

Why ≈3 min early

A usual eveningTK730's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farIstanbul departures board−3
Istanbul is running smoothly9% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−2
Leaves≈−3−3 to 9

weather at Istanbulweather at ColomboTurkish Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 104

Last 90 days

68on time
11late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

TK730 Istanbul to Colombo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 89 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.