Will UA1002 be delayed today?
Houston → Quito Mariscal Sucre · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:25≈18:26
Lands23:40≈23:31
As of 09:19, UA1002 should push back about 18:26 (scheduled 18:25) and land about 23:31 (scheduled 23:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual eveningUA1002's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
Thunderstorms possible at QuitoFrom our forecast: thunder 54% likely, 95% chance of rain at Quito today+1
Houston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈1−3 to 11
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−9
United todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:25Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
50on time
17late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1002 Houston to Quito left within 15 minutes of schedule on 50 of its last 71 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.