Will UA1040 be delayed today?
Newark → Aruba Queen Beatrix · Sun 1 Nov · United
updated Newark time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:12≈08:51
As of 00:49, UA1040 should push back about 08:51 (scheduled 09:12).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈21 min early
A usual morningUA1040's typical departure, last 90 days−18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farNewark departures board−1
Calmer than usual at NewarkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Newark is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−21−28 to −16
weather at ArubaUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 06:12Newark time
Last 90 days
80on time
5late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1040 Newark to Aruba left within 15 minutes of schedule on 80 of its last 89 flights, usually 22 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.