Will UA1239 be delayed today?
Chicago → Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester · Sun 1 Nov · United
same answer since Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:57.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:57≈13:55Chicago time
Lands16:39≈16:27Rochester time
As of 10:49, UA1239 should push back about 13:55 (scheduled 13:57) and land about 16:27 (scheduled 16:39).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA1239's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farChicago departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−2−6 to 9
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−12
weather at Rochesterdepartures at ChicagoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:57Chicago time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
63on time
10late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1239 Chicago to Rochester left within 15 minutes of schedule on 63 of its last 88 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.