Will UA1271 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Mexico City Benito Juárez · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC3479, NZ9821
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:45≈10:42
Lands16:12≈16:05
As of 08:39, UA1271 should push back about 10:42 (scheduled 10:45) and land about 16:05 (scheduled 16:12).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual morningUA1271's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 1
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−7
weather at Mexico CityUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:00San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
77on time
8late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1271 San Francisco to Mexico City left within 15 minutes of schedule on 77 of its last 87 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.