Will UA1461 be delayed today?
Houston → San Salvador El Salvador Saint Óscar Arnulfo Romero y Galdámez · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:15≈18:17
As of 14:39, UA1461 should push back about 18:17 (scheduled 18:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual eveningUA1461's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farHouston departures board−1
Houston is running smoothly38% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈2−3 to 15
weather at Houstonweather at San SalvadorUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:15Houston time
Last 90 days
49on time
16late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1461 Houston to San Salvador left within 15 minutes of schedule on 49 of its last 73 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It wasn't cancelled once.