Will UA1474 be delayed today?
Newark → San Pedro Sula Ramón Villeda Morales · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Newark time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:49.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:49≈18:35
As of 12:19, UA1474 should push back about 18:35 (scheduled 18:49).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈14 min early
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Newark; UA1474 is new to us−12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at NewarkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Newark is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−14−21 to −6
weather at San Pedro SulaUnited todayFAA plan for todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 85Check again 15:49Newark time
Last 90 days
10on time
2late
3very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1474 Newark to San Pedro Sula left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 16 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It was cancelled once.