Will UA15 be delayed today?
London → Newark · Sun 1 Nov · United
updated London time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:20
Lands18:30≈18:28
As of 03:49, UA15 should push back about 15:20 (scheduled 15:10) and land about 18:28 (scheduled 18:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonUA15's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−2
Calmer than usual at NewarkFrom our forecast: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 50% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈103 to 35
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−2
departures at LondonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 75
usually 1 in 32Check again 12:10London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
56on time
23late
8very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA15 London to Newark left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It was cancelled 3 times.