Will UA2386 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Washington National · Sat 31 Oct · United · as NZ2777
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:18≈14:13
Lands22:38≈22:25
As of 08:39, UA2386 should push back about 14:13 (scheduled 14:18) and land about 22:25 (scheduled 22:38).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual afternoonUA2386's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−5−8 to 0
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−13
weather at Washingtondepartures at San FranciscoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:18San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
64on time
12late
13very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA2386 San Francisco to Washington left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 89 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.