Will UA2409 be delayed today?
Calgary → San Francisco · Sun 1 Nov · United
same answer since Calgary time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:30≈16:28Calgary time
Lands17:30≈17:27San Francisco time
As of 05:19, UA2409 should push back about 16:28 (scheduled 16:30) and land about 17:27 (scheduled 17:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA2409's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your plane is on timeN77261 is coming from Denver, due 15:210
Calmer than usual at CalgaryFrom our forecast: dry today−1
United Airlines is running well today8% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 12 min early−2
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco+2
Leaves≈−2−8 to 2
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈−3
weather at San Franciscodepartures at Calgarystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:21Calgary time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
66on time
11late
13very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA2409 Calgary to San Francisco left within 15 minutes of schedule on 66 of its last 90 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It wasn't cancelled once.