Will UA2486 be delayed today?
San Diego → Chicago O'Hare · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated San Diego time
Very likely, by about 80 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:35≈17:57
Lands22:54≈00:14Sun
As of 19:19, UA2486 should push back about 17:57 (scheduled 16:35) and land about 00:14 (scheduled 22:54).
Why ≈80 min
A usual afternoonUA2486's typical departure, last 90 days−19
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 145 min lateSan Diego departures board+103
San Diego is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
United is running well today20% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 14 min early−4
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Diego+1
Leaves≈8045 to 94
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈80
weather at San Diegoweather at Chicagostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
41on time
2late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA2486 San Diego to Chicago left within 15 minutes of schedule on 41 of its last 46 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.