Will UA404 be delayed today?
Houston → Newark · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:29.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:29≈18:31
Lands23:07≈22:56
As of 09:19, UA404 should push back about 18:31 (scheduled 18:29) and land about 22:56 (scheduled 23:07).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual eveningUA404's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
Houston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA delays at NewarkFAA delays at Newark, about 30 min+1
Leaves≈2−2 to 20
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−11
weather at NewarkUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 71Check again 15:29Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
51on time
18late
13very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA404 Houston to Newark left within 15 minutes of schedule on 51 of its last 84 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It was cancelled twice.