willmyflightbedelayed?

Will UA4047 be delayed today?

Houston → Knoxville McGhee Tyson · Sun 1 Nov · United

same answer since Houston time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:40.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves14:40≈14:42

As of 03:49, UA4047 should push back about 14:42 (scheduled 14:40).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

today ≈14:4214:4015:1015:4016:10scheduled

Why ≈2 min

A usual afternoonUA4047's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Low cloud or fogFrom our forecast: low cloud and poor visibility around departure at Houston today+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈2−4 to 13

weather at Knoxvilledepartures at HoustonUnited Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 200

usually 1 in 70

Check again 11:40Houston time

Last 90 days

54on time
3late
5very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

UA4047 Houston to Knoxville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 63 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It was cancelled once.

Other Houston → Knoxville flights today