Will UA4054 be delayed today?
Houston → Memphis Frederick W. Smith · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:28.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:28≈16:25
Lands18:13≈18:08
As of 09:19, UA4054 should push back about 16:25 (scheduled 16:28) and land about 18:08 (scheduled 18:13).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonUA4054's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈−3−6 to 3
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈−5
weather at Memphisdepartures at HoustonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:28Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
8late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4054 Houston to Memphis left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 71 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 13. It wasn't cancelled once.