Will UA4241 be delayed today?
Washington → James M. Cox Dayton · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Washington time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:35≈12:28
As of 10:19, UA4241 should push back about 12:28 (scheduled 12:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min early
A usual afternoonUA4241's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farWashington departures board−1
Calmer than usual at WashingtonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Washington is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−7−12 to −1
weather at DaytonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:50Washington time
Last 90 days
44on time
9late
2very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4241 Washington to Dayton left within 15 minutes of schedule on 44 of its last 56 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It was cancelled once.