Will UA433 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Seattle–Tacoma · Sat 31 Oct · United · as CA7337, NZ9403, OZ6310, VA8283
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:10≈14:07
Lands16:27≈16:14
As of 10:39, UA433 should push back about 14:07 (scheduled 14:10) and land about 16:14 (scheduled 16:27).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonUA433's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Seattle today−2
Leaves≈−3−7 to 6
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−13
weather at SeattleUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:10San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
9late
19very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA433 San Francisco to Seattle left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 67 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 28. It wasn't cancelled once.