Will UA4382 be delayed tomorrow?
Chicago → Buffalo Niagara · Sun 1 Nov · United
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:29.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:29≈09:26
Lands12:17≈12:06
As of 17:19, UA4382 should push back about 09:26 (scheduled 09:29) and land about 12:06 (scheduled 12:17).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual morningUA4382's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA4183 from St Louis, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−3−5 to 10
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−11
weather at Buffalodepartures at ChicagoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 06:29Chicago time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
42on time
0late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4382 Chicago to Buffalo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 46 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.