Will UA4476 be delayed today?
Washington → Cincinnati Northern Kentucky · Mon 2 Nov · United
same answer since Washington time
Very likely, by about 115 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:15≈19:11
Lands18:59≈20:53
As of 19:59, UA4476 should push back about 19:11 (scheduled 17:15) and land about 20:53 (scheduled 18:59).
Why ≈115 min
A usual eveningUA4476's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your plane came in lateN564GJ landed from Greenville, 431 min behind schedule+11
The board already shows 135 min lateWashington departures board+118
Washington is backing up18% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
United is running well today19% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 14 min early−11
Your plane was swappedThe airline changed the aircraft for this flight 4 min ago+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈115109 to 157
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈115
weather at Washingtonweather at Cincinnatistorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
55on time
3late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4476 Washington to Cincinnati left within 15 minutes of schedule on 55 of its last 62 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.