Will UA4538 be delayed today?
Chicago → Cedar Rapids The Eastern Iowa · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:55≈12:53
As of 08:39, UA4538 should push back about 12:53 (scheduled 12:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Chicago; UA4538 is new to us2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farChicago departures board−1
Chicago is running smoothly10% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−2−6 to 11
weather at Chicagoweather at Cedar RapidsUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 154Check again 09:55Chicago time
Last 90 days
12on time
4late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4538 Chicago to Cedar Rapids left within 15 minutes of schedule on 12 of its last 24 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It was cancelled once.