Will UA4785 be delayed today?
Houston → Nashville · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:20≈18:18
Lands20:27≈20:20
As of 09:19, UA4785 should push back about 18:18 (scheduled 18:20) and land about 20:20 (scheduled 20:27).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual eveningUA4785's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today1
Houston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−2
Leaves≈−2−4 to 8
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−7
weather at NashvilleUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:20Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
26on time
2late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4785 Houston to Nashville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 26 of its last 36 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.