Will UA4811 be delayed today?
Houston → Lafayette · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:20≈18:15
As of 09:19, UA4811 should push back about 18:15 (scheduled 18:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual eveningUA4811's typical departure, last 90 days−5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈−5−8 to −1
weather at Lafayettedepartures at HoustonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:20Houston time
Last 90 days
42on time
6late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA4811 Houston to Lafayette left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 50 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.