Will UA488 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Nashville · Sat 31 Oct · United · as NZ9139, VA8170
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:40≈12:33
Lands19:11≈18:57
As of 10:59, UA488 should push back about 12:33 (scheduled 12:40) and land about 18:57 (scheduled 19:11).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min early
A usual afternoonUA488's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane looks on timeIt usually comes in as UA520 from Burbank, due 11:18−3
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−2
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−7−9 to −2
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−14
weather at NashvilleUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:18San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
18on time
3late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA488 San Francisco to Nashville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 18 of its last 24 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.