Will UA497 be delayed today?
Houston → Pensacola · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 20:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:10≈20:06
As of 09:19, UA497 should push back about 20:06 (scheduled 20:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual eveningUA497's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
Houston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
United is running well today8% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 7 min early−2
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈−4−6 to 3
weather at Pensacolastorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 53Check again 17:10Houston time
Last 90 days
42on time
6late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA497 Houston to Pensacola left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 56 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 13. It was cancelled once.