Will UA5038 be delayed today?
Washington → Lynchburg-Preston Glenn Field · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Washington time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:30≈08:25
As of 09:39, UA5038 should push back about 08:25 (scheduled 08:30).
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningTypical for this time of day at Washington; UA5038 is new to us−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farWashington departures board−1
Calmer than usual at WashingtonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−5−14 to 3
weather at Lynchburgdepartures at WashingtonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 2
usually 1 in 5Last 90 days
2on time
0late
1very late
15cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5038 Washington to Lynchburg left within 15 minutes of schedule on 2 of its last 18 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 1. It was cancelled 15 times.