Will UA5230 be delayed today?
Houston → Albuquerque Sunport · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:55≈16:54
Lands18:23≈18:21
As of 10:19, UA5230 should push back about 16:54 (scheduled 16:55) and land about 18:21 (scheduled 18:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual afternoonUA5230's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
More rain than usual at AlbuquerqueFrom our forecast: 84% chance of rain at Albuquerque today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 100% 15+ min late1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−2
Leaves≈−1−5 to 12
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈−2
departures at HoustonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:55Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
24on time
4late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5230 Houston to Albuquerque left within 15 minutes of schedule on 24 of its last 32 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.