Will UA5474 be delayed today?
Chicago → Freeland MBS · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:45≈19:40
As of 09:19, UA5474 should push back about 19:40 (scheduled 19:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual eveningUA5474's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Calmer than usual at FreelandFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Chicago is running smoothly27% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−5−6 to 10
United todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:45Chicago time
Last 90 days
38on time
4late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5474 Chicago to Freeland left within 15 minutes of schedule on 38 of its last 48 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.