Will UA5508 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Carlsbad McClellan-Palomar · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:45≈18:42
As of 09:19, UA5508 should push back about 18:42 (scheduled 18:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual eveningUA5508's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA1320 from Orange County, due 16:510
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 2
weather at CarlsbadUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:51San Francisco time
Last 90 days
73on time
6late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5508 San Francisco to Carlsbad left within 15 minutes of schedule on 73 of its last 87 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.