Will UA5518 be delayed today?
Chicago → Traverse City Cherry Capital · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 20:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:00≈19:56
As of 09:19, UA5518 should push back about 19:56 (scheduled 20:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual eveningUA5518's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−4−7 to 2
weather at Traverse Citydepartures at ChicagoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 17:00Chicago time
Last 90 days
19on time
0late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5518 Chicago to Traverse City left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 21 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.