Will UA5609 be delayed today?
Chicago → Appleton · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Chicago time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:15≈20:09
As of 17:39, UA5609 should push back about 20:09 (scheduled 20:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min early
A usual eveningUA5609's typical departure, last 90 days−4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farChicago departures board−1
Chicago is running smoothly28% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−6−8 to 3
weather at Chicagoweather at AppletonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 19:30Chicago time
Last 90 days
44on time
3late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5609 Chicago to Appleton left within 15 minutes of schedule on 44 of its last 53 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.