Will UA5688 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Tucson · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC4432, EK6388, LH9398, NZ9747
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:47.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:47≈18:48
Lands21:06≈21:01
As of 09:49, UA5688 should push back about 18:48 (scheduled 18:47) and land about 21:01 (scheduled 21:06).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at San Francisco; UA5688 is new to us6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA5928 from Omaha, due 17:400
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
More rain than usual at TucsonFrom our forecast: 88% chance of rain at Tucson today+1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
United is running well today10% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 11 min early; yesterday this flight left 16 min late−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈1−5 to 15
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−5
storms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 17:40San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
5on time
6late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA5688 San Francisco to Tucson left within 15 minutes of schedule on 5 of its last 15 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.