Will UA574 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Las Vegas Harry Reid · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC4104, AZ4491, EK6366, LH8878, NZ9226, VA8191
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:40≈16:37
Lands18:23≈18:21
As of 09:19, UA574 should push back about 16:37 (scheduled 16:40) and land about 18:21 (scheduled 18:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonUA574's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
More rain than usual at Las VegasFrom our forecast: 81% chance of rain at Las Vegas today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Las Vegas today−1
Leaves≈−3−6 to 8
Lost in the air+1
Lands≈−2
United todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:40San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
59on time
13late
16very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA574 San Francisco to Las Vegas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 59 of its last 88 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 29. It wasn't cancelled once.