Will UA581 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Cleveland Hopkins · Sat 31 Oct · United · as NZ9040, VA8486
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:45≈12:41
Lands20:33≈20:22
As of 08:39, UA581 should push back about 12:41 (scheduled 12:45) and land about 20:22 (scheduled 20:33).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual afternoonUA581's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈−4−7 to 3
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−11
weather at ClevelandUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:45San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
17late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA581 San Francisco to Cleveland left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 60 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.