Will UA589 be delayed today?
San Francisco → John Wayne Orange County · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC4186, LH7594, NZ9699, VA8490
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:10≈19:06
Lands20:51≈20:45
As of 09:19, UA589 should push back about 19:06 (scheduled 19:10) and land about 20:45 (scheduled 20:51).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual eveningUA589's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−4−10 to 0
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈−6
weather at San Franciscoweather at Orange CountyUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:10San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
80on time
7late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA589 San Francisco to Orange County left within 15 minutes of schedule on 80 of its last 90 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.