Will UA854 be delayed today?
Houston → Lima Jorge Chávez · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:40≈16:42
Lands23:15≈23:04
As of 11:19, UA854 should push back about 16:42 (scheduled 16:40) and land about 23:04 (scheduled 23:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonUA854's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
Houston is running smoothly6% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈2−2 to 13
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−11
weather at LimaUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:40Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
40on time
17late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA854 Houston to Lima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 40 of its last 72 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It wasn't cancelled once.