Will UA871 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:45≈13:44
Lands17:50≈17:39Sun
As of 08:39, UA871 should push back about 13:44 (scheduled 13:45) and land about 17:39 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual afternoonUA871's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−1−6 to 5
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−11
weather at TaipeiUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:45San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
8late
8very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA871 San Francisco to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 86 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled twice.