Will UA875 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Tokyo Haneda · Sat 31 Oct · United · as NH7011
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:15≈11:13
Lands14:50≈14:37Sun
As of 08:39, UA875 should push back about 11:13 (scheduled 11:15) and land about 14:37 (scheduled 14:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual morningUA875's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
United is running well today9% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 10 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−2−5 to 4
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−13
weather at Tokyostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 68Check again 10:30San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
72on time
10late
4very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA875 San Francisco to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 87 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It was cancelled once.