Will UA876 be delayed today?
Tokyo → San Francisco · Sun 1 Nov · United
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:25≈18:28
Lands11:10≈11:04
As of 04:19, UA876 should push back about 18:28 (scheduled 18:25) and land about 11:04 (scheduled 11:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningUA876's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 13% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈3−1 to 12
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−6
departures at TokyoUnited todayFAA ground stops and delay programsstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 189
usually 1 in 50Check again 15:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
78on time
4late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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UA876 Tokyo to San Francisco left within 15 minutes of schedule on 78 of its last 90 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It was cancelled once.