Will VA216 be delayed today?
Adelaide → Melbourne · Fri 6 Nov · Virgin Australia
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:40. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:40≈10:43Adelaide time
Lands12:30≈12:34Melbourne time
As of 11:29, VA216 was due to push back about 10:43 (scheduled 10:40). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
same answer since Adelaide time
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningVA216's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as VA217 from Melbourne, 5 min behind, due 10:050
On time on the board so farAdelaide departures board−2
Calmer than usual at AdelaideFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Adelaide is running smoothly8% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈30 to 7
Lost in the air+1
Lands≈4
weather at MelbourneVirgin Australia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 101Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
6on time
3late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA216 Adelaide to Melbourne left within 15 minutes of schedule on 6 of its last 11 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.
Connecting at Melbourne?
See the time each connection from this flight had, day by day, on GateConnections.