Will VA53 be delayed today?
Brisbane → Port Vila Bauerfield · Sun 1 Nov · Virgin Australia
updated Brisbane time
Maybe, by about 6 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:05≈10:11
As of 10:59, VA53 should push back about 10:11 (scheduled 10:05).
Why ≈6 min
A usual morningVA53's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 5 min lateBrisbane departures board+1
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 40 kt at Brisbane today+2
Brisbane is running smoothly6% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈64 to 20
weather at Port VilaVirgin Australia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
usually 1 in 97Last 90 days
39on time
11late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA53 Brisbane to Port Vila left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 54 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It wasn't cancelled once.