Will VA741 be delayed tomorrow?
Melbourne → Gold Coast · Mon 2 Nov · Virgin Australia
updated Melbourne time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:10≈12:18
Lands14:15≈14:24
As of 17:19, VA741 should push back about 12:18 (scheduled 12:10) and land about 14:24 (scheduled 14:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonVA741's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as VA314 from Brisbane, not departed yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Melbourne tomorrow+1
Thunderstorms possible at Gold CoastFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 40 kt at Gold Coast tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 27% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈80 to 25
Lost in the air+1
Lands≈9
departures at MelbourneVirgin Australia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 18
usually 1 in 172Check again tomorrow 09:10Melbourne time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
43on time
20late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA741 Melbourne to Gold Coast left within 15 minutes of schedule on 43 of its last 66 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It wasn't cancelled once.