Will VA8195 be delayed tomorrow?
San Francisco → Tampa · Sun 1 Nov · Virgin Australia · operated by United as UA1244
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves06:15≈06:10
Lands14:33≈14:23
As of 12:19, VA8195 should push back about 06:10 (scheduled 06:15) and land about 14:23 (scheduled 14:33).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningUA1244's typical departure, last 90 days−4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA1375 from Ontario, due 15:050
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−5−9 to 0
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−10
weather at San Franciscoweather at Tampadepartures at San FranciscoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:05San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
24on time
3late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA8195 San Francisco to Tampa left within 15 minutes of schedule on 24 of its last 28 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.