Will VA841 be delayed tomorrow?
Melbourne → Sydney Kingsford Smith · Mon 2 Nov · Virgin Australia
updated Melbourne time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:00≈12:08
Lands13:25≈13:37
As of 20:19, VA841 should push back about 12:08 (scheduled 12:00) and land about 13:37 (scheduled 13:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonVA841's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Melbourne tomorrow+1
Leaves≈81 to 23
Lost in the air+4
Lands≈10
weather at Sydneydepartures at MelbourneVirgin Australia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 41
usually 1 in 110Check again tomorrow 09:00Melbourne time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
11on time
3late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA841 Melbourne to Sydney left within 15 minutes of schedule on 11 of its last 16 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.