Will VA8506 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Brisbane · Sat 31 Oct · Virgin Australia · operated by United as UA96
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 23:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves23:05≈23:02
Lands06:10≈05:54Mon
As of 15:19, VA8506 should push back about 23:02 (scheduled 23:05) and land about 05:54 (scheduled 06:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual nightUA96's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈−3−8 to 1
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−16
weather at San Franciscoweather at Brisbanedepartures at San FranciscoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 20:05San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
40on time
10late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA8506 San Francisco to Brisbane left within 15 minutes of schedule on 40 of its last 51 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It wasn't cancelled once.