Will VB2164 be delayed today?
Cancún → Monterrey · Tue 3 Nov · Viva Aerobus
same answer since Cancún time
Unlikely. It should leave about 5 minutes late, around 10:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:25≈10:30Cancún time
Lands≈11:55Monterrey time
As of 05:59, VB2164 should push back about 10:30 (scheduled 10:25) and land about 11:55 (scheduled 11:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningVB2164's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as VB2163 from Monterrey, due 09:300
On time on the board so farCancún departures board−1
Calmer than usual at CancúnFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈50 to 15
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
weather at Monterreydepartures at CancúnVivaAerobus todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 51
usually 1 in 25Check again 09:30Cancún time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
15late
9very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VB2164 Cancún to Monterrey left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 88 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It was cancelled 3 times.