Will WS3538 be delayed today?
Calgary → Fort McMurray · Sun 1 Nov · WestJet
same answer since Calgary time
Unlikely. It should leave about 7 minutes late, around 23:52.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves23:45≈23:52
As of 19:19, WS3538 should push back about 23:52 (scheduled 23:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual nightWS3538's typical departure, last 90 days−9
Your plane is running lateCGWJK is 70 min behind from Edmonton, due 23:40+17
Calmer than usual at CalgaryFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈7−8 to 15
weather at Fort McMurraydepartures at CalgaryWestJet todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 92
usually 1 in 25Check again 23:40Calgary time
Last 90 days
71on time
9late
7very late
3cancelled
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T
W
T
F
S
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WS3538 Calgary to Fort McMurray left within 15 minutes of schedule on 71 of its last 90 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled 3 times.