willmyflightbedelayed?

Will MF810 be delayed tomorrow?

Tokyo → Fuzhou Changle · Wed 4 Nov · Xiamen Airlines

same answer since Tokyo time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:30.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves15:30≈15:27

As of 18:19, MF810 should push back about 15:27 (scheduled 15:30).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

tomorrow ≈15:2715:3016:0016:3017:00scheduled

Why ≈3 min early

A usual afternoonMF810's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈−3−8 to 6

weather at Tokyoweather at Fuzhoudepartures at TokyoXiamen todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 55

Check again tomorrow 12:30Tokyo time

Last 90 days

73on time
12late
4very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

MF810 Tokyo to Fuzhou left within 15 minutes of schedule on 73 of its last 90 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled once.